Guotai Junan: The liquor sector is determined to be ahead of growth, paying attention to the trend of price approval and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. Guotai Junan said that the liquor reporting end began to enter a downward period in 2024Q2, and the bottom shock is expected in 2025H1. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period.Japan's short-term survey index of large-scale manufacturing industry in December reported 14, with an estimated 13.Guotai Junan: The liquor sector is determined to be ahead of growth, paying attention to the trend of price approval and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. Guotai Junan said that the liquor reporting end began to enter a downward period in 2024Q2, and the bottom shock is expected in 2025H1. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period.
China Seismological Network automatically measured that an earthquake of magnitude 4.4 occurred near Yuli County, Bayinguoleng Prefecture, Xinjiang at 07: 22 on December 13th (40.93 degrees north latitude and 84.13 degrees east longitude), and the final result was subject to the official quick report.The Henan provincial government and Shenzhen Stock Exchange signed a strategic cooperation agreement. According to the news of Henan government network, on December 12, the Henan provincial government and Shenzhen Stock Exchange signed a strategic cooperation agreement in Zhengzhou, and reached a cooperation intention on jointly promoting capital market construction and promoting local economic development. The two sides will adhere to the principles of complementary advantages, resource sharing, project traction, innovation and win-win, and establish an all-round, multi-level, long-term stable, cooperative and mutually beneficial strategic cooperative relationship; Focusing on the implementation of major national strategies and the key industrial chain groups cultivated in Henan Province, we will intensify the cultivation and promote more high-quality enterprises to go public; Give full play to the role of industry-finance service platform and further broaden financing channels; Establish an all-round communication mechanism, strengthen information sharing and work coordination, and jointly create a good environment for the development of the capital market.The moderate increase in inflation in the United States consolidated the expectation of interest rate cuts in December. According to the data released by the US Department of Labor on December 11, local time, the US consumer price index (CPI) increased by 0.3% in November, an increase of 0.1 percentage point over October. Inflation continues to rise moderately, which is in line with the market's previous judgment and also supports the expectation that the Fed will continue to cut interest rates this month. However, considering the slowdown in inflation and the increase in uncertainties affecting the economy, many analysts believe that the Fed may slow down the pace of interest rate cuts in the future. (Economic Information Daily)
Zhou Hongchun, a researcher at the State Council Development Research Center: Cultivating green buildings will form a new economic growth point. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to jointly promote carbon reduction, pollution reduction and green growth, and step up the comprehensive green transformation of economic and social development. In this regard, Zhou Hongchun, a researcher at the the State Council Development Research Center, said that reducing carbon, reducing pollution and expanding green growth is the proper logic for China's high-quality economic development. The essence is to strengthen systematic thinking, pay attention to the coordination of various policies and reform and opening-up measures, and realize the green transformation and sustainable development of China's economy and society.The Australian stock market fell for the fourth consecutive trading day, led by mining stocks. The Australian stock market fell with the US stock market on Friday, with mining stocks falling the most. The day before, the unemployment rate in Australia fell sharply in November, prompting investors to reduce their bets on interest rate cuts in February. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index fell 0.7% to 8276.5, the fourth consecutive trading day. The benchmark fell by about 1.6% this week, the biggest weekly decline since early August.Bank of Japan: The index of small non-manufacturers rose for the second consecutive quarter, reaching the highest level since August 1991.
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13